U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday as labor cost data indicated that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive approach to taming inflation was taking hold ahead of a decision by the central bank, while gains on the Dow were limited by weak earnings updates.
U.S. employment costs increased at their slowest pace in a year in the fourth quarter as wage growth slowed, bolstering expectations of the Fed slowing the pace of its interest rate increases.
“The report was a little lower than expected and that seemed to really spark a move in markets,” said Randy Frederick, managing director at Charles Schwab.
“It shows that the overall economy is slowing down, but it should be a positive overall because it means that the Fed’s actions to quell inflation are actually working.”
The Fed will decide on rates on Wednesday, with traders betting on a 25-basis-point hike (bps) at the end of the its two-day meeting, and a terminal rate of 4.9% in June.
The automobile conglomerate forecast stronger-than-expected earnings for 2023 and said it would cut $2 billion in costs.
Capping gains on the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) was Caterpillar Inc (CAT.N), down 4.2% after reporting a drop in quarterly profit on higher manufacturing costs, while McDonald’s Corp (MCD.N) dropped 2.4% on warnings of short-term inflationary pressures.
“With additional earnings coming in this week, participants are a little concerned that the market got a little bit ahead of itself and so are a little cautious heading into the Fed meeting,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth.
At 12:05 p.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) was up 62.08 points, or 0.18%, at 33,779.17, the S&P 500 (.SPX) was up 22.13 points, or 0.55%, at 4,039.90, and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) was up 97.78 points, or 0.86%, at 11,491.59.
The S&P 500 and the Dow are set to end January higher for the first time since 2019, while the Nasdaq is up more than 9% as appetite for growth stocks bounced back.
Hopes of a downshift in the Fed’s policy has eased worries of pressured valuations for the rate-sensitive group.
As many as 165 S&P 500 companies have reported earnings for the fourth quarter. Earnings are expected to have fallen 2.4% for the quarter, compared with a 3% decline expected a day earlier, according to Refinitiv data.
Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 3.81-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 2.88-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
The S&P index recorded five new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 62 new highs and 15 new lows.